Summary

The 2022 Alabama gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alabama.

Incumbent Republican Governor Kay Ivey took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley, and was elected to a full term in 2018. She is running for re-election to a second full term. The winner of the 2022 gubernatorial election is scheduled to be sworn in on January 16, 2023.

Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate received 50% plus one vote were scheduled for June 21. A runoff was avoided in the Republican primary, with Ivey winning outright. The Democratic primary advanced to a runoff between Malika Sanders-Fortier and Yolanda Flowers, with Flowers winning the Democratic nomination.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 AL Governor Race

News

Democratic candidate Yolanda Flowers to face incumbent Kay Ivey in governor race
Alabama Political Reporter, Jacob HolmesJune 22, 2022

Yolanda Flowers will square off with incumbent Governor Kay Ivey in November after defeating Malika Sanders-Fortier in the lone Democratic runoff Tuesday night.

Flowers secured about 55 percent of the vote Tuesday, beating Sanders-Fortier by a solid 10 percentage points.

“I thank God for everything he’s done for us tonight, but the race isn’t over,” she told AL.com Tuesday night. “We still must continue on to encourage our citizens how important it is to vote for the betterment of our state.”

Flowers led the primary as well but had a much smaller lead over Sanders-Fortier. She had received 33.8 percent of the vote while Sanders-Fortier had secured 32.5 percent.

Kay Ivey

Kay Ivey

Current Position: Governor
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Position(s): Lt. Governor from 2011 – 2017; Treasurer of Alabama from 2003 – 2011

Featured Quote: 
I’m proud to sign on to an amicus brief, led by @henrymcmaster, urging the Supreme Court to overturn Roe v. Wade & restore the authority of states to protect the lives of unborn children. #alpolitics

For more information, go to this post.

Yolanda Flowers

Yolanda Flowers

Current Position: Teacher and Administrator
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 Governor

Yolanda Rochelle Robinson Flowers was born and raised in Birmingham, Alabama. After graduating High School, she pursued higher education and went on to work in education for many years. She has three children, twelve grandchildren, and five great-grandchildren.

Yolanda believes that we must reconstruct Alabama for us all. As Governor, she will work to improve Alabama’s healthcare, education, criminal justice, and our economy. Vote Yolanda Flowers for Governor!

For more information, go to this post.

Wikipedia


The 2022 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley (R) and won a full term in 2018. In 2022, she won her bid for a second full term in a landslide.[1]

Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate received 50% plus one vote were scheduled for June 21. A runoff was avoided in the Republican primary, with Ivey winning outright. The Democratic primary advanced to a runoff between Malika Sanders-Fortier and Yolanda Flowers, with Flowers winning the Democratic nomination.

Voter turnout for Alabama’s 2022 governor election dropped significantly from its 2018 governor race, with only 38.5% of registered voters turning out. This was also far below Alabama’s 63.1% turnout in the 2020 presidential race. Alabama’s neighboring state Tennessee also saw a huge drop in voter turnout this midterm cycle.

This was the first gubernatorial election in Alabama history in which both major party nominees were women. Flowers was also the first Black female gubernatorial nominee in Alabama.[2] Governor Ivey was sworn in for her second full term on January 16, 2023.

This is the only gubernatorial election in the 2020s to date to be won by a member of the Silent Generation. This election saw the worst performance of a Democratic Party nominee in the state’s history. This is also the first gubernatorial election in which Marengo County voted Republican.

Republican primary

Former U.S. Ambassador Lynda Blanchard finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Lynda Blanchard
Individuals
  • James Henderson, head of Christian Pro-Life Council, radio show host and former pastor[23]
  • Mike Lindell, founder of MyPillow and conspiracy theorist[24]
Organizations
Lew Burdette
Individuals
Kay Ivey
State executives
State senators
State representatives
Mayors
Law enforcement
  • 31 county sheriffs and police chiefs[39]
Organizations
PACs
Tim James
State senators
State representatives
Individuals
Political parties
Organizations
PACs
  • Coal Miners Political Action Committee[63]
Dean Odle
Individuals
Newspapers
  • The Highland Park Review[66]
Businesses
  • Pigfarm Gun Range[67]
Organizations
  • Alabama First Alliance[68]
  • South Alabama Republican Assembly[69]
  • Stand for Health Freedom[70]
Dave Thomas
Organizations
  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition[71]
  • Alabama Republicans Against Marijuana Prohibition[71]

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No.DateLocationHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
BlanchardBurdetteGeorgeIveyJamesJonesOdleThomasYoung
1[72]Jan 19, 2022EnterpriseCoffee County Republican WomenJan WhiteFacebook (1)
Facebook (2)
PAAAPAPAA
2[73]Feb 01, 2022HuntsvilleRepublican Women of HuntsvilleTerri TerrellYouTubePPAAPAPAA
3[74]Feb 10, 2022FairhopeEastern Shore Republican WomenJeff PoorN/APPAAPPPPP
4[75]Feb 10, 2022DothanHouston County Republican PartyBrandon ShoupeFacebookPAAAPAPAA
5[76]Feb 28, 2022GreenvilleButler County Republican PartyN/AN/APPAAPAPAA
6[77]Mar 07, 2022AthensAthens-Limestone Republican WomenTracy SmithN/APAAAPAPAA
7[78]Mar 10, 2022HooverLOCAL AlabamaAllison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
YouTubePPAAPAPPA
8[79]Apr 12, 2022CullmanCullman County Republican WomenCharlotte CovertYouTubePPAAPPPPA
9[80]Apr 26, 2022HuntsvilleFocus on AmericaScott Beason
Rebecca Rogers
FacebookPPAAPPPPA
10[81]May 11, 2022PrattvilleAutauga County Republican PartyJohn WahlFacebookPPAAAPPAA
11[82]May 14, 2022Vestavia HillsMid Alabama Republican ClubN/AN/APPAAAAPAP

Polling

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Dean
Odle
Dean
Young
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsMay 15–21, 2022May 24, 202214.3%7.7%49.3%18.0%2.7%1.3%5.7%Ivey +31.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Stacy
George
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Donald
Jones
Dean
Odle
Dave
Thomas
Dean
Young
Jim
Zeigler
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)May 18–21, 20221,060 (LV)± 2.9%17%7%47%17%3%3%1%6%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A]May 16–19, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%17%8%45%18%4%9%
Cygnal (R)May 15–16, 2022634 (LV)± 3.9%13%8%48%16%2%0%2%11%
Emerson CollegeMay 15–16, 2022706 (LV)± 3.6%11%7%0%46%17%0%3%0%0%15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A]May 9–12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%15%8%52%15%3%7%
Cygnal (R)May 6–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%15%6%40%18%4%1%4%14%
The Tarrance Group (R)[B]April 18–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%14%57%12%5%12%
Emerson CollegeMarch 25–27, 2022687 (LV)± 3.7%8%4%0%48%11%1%1%2%2%22%
Cygnal (R)March 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%10%2%46%12%5%3%21%
Wisemen Consulting (R)March 15–17, 2022905 (LV)± 3.4%12%2%1%58%16%<1%1%<1%<1%9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[A]March 10–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%11%1%60%14%14%
1892 Polling (R)[B]March 8–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%8%60%13%6%13%
The Tarrance Group (R)[B]February 28 – March 2, 2022600 (RV)± 4.1%10%61%13%4%12%
Cherry Communications (R)[C]February 2–6, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%10%55%11%2%22%
Cygnal (R)August 17–18, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%42%4%3%9%9%34%

Primary results

Results by county:

  Ivey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[83]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKay Ivey (incumbent) 357,069 54.45%
RepublicanLynda Blanchard126,20219.25%
RepublicanTim James106,18116.19%
RepublicanLew Burdette42,9246.55%
RepublicanDean Odle11,7671.79%
RepublicanDonald Trent Jones3,8210.58%
RepublicanDave Thomas2,8860.44%
RepublicanStacy Lee George2,5460.39%
RepublicanDean Young2,3560.36%
Total votes655,752 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Yolanda Rochelle Flowers, activist, retired rehabilitation specialist and educator[84][85][86]

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

  • Patricia Salter Jamieson, nurse and licensed minister[84]
  • Arthur Kennedy, Army veteran and educator[11][88]
  • Chad “Chig” Martin, small business owner, musician and independent candidate for governor in 2018[89] (switched from independent)[90][91]
  • Doug “New Blue” Smith, developmental economist, retired corporate attorney and perennial candidate[10][11][92]

Failed to qualify

  • Christopher A. Countryman, equality activist, licensed minister, motivational speaker, former juvenile corrections officer and candidate for governor in 2018[93]

Declined

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers
Malika Sanders-Fortier
Organizations
  • Alabama New South Alliance[96]

First round

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Democratic gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No.DateLocationHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
FlowersKennedyMartinSalterSanders-
Fortier
Smith
1[78]Mar 10, 2022HooverLOCAL AlabamaAllison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
YouTubePPPPPP
2[97]Apr 07, 2022Fort PayneDeKalb County Democratic PartyN/AN/APAPAAP
3[98]Apr 22, 2022DothanHouston County Democratic PartyN/AN/APPPPPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Yolanda
Flowers
Patricia
Jamieson
Arthur
Kennedy
Chad
Martin
Malika
Sanders-Fortier
Doug
Smith
Undecided
Emerson CollegeMay 15–16, 2022294 (LV)± 5.7%29%2%5%7%5%3%49%
Emerson CollegeMarch 25–27, 2022359 (LV)± 5.1%11%3%7%4%8%8%59%

Results

Results by county:

  Flowers
  •   20-30%
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
  Jamieson
  •   60–70%
  Martin
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[83]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticYolanda Rochelle Flowers 56,991 33.88%
DemocraticMalika Sanders-Fortier 54,699 32.52%
DemocraticPatricia Jamieson Salter19,69111.71%
DemocraticArthur Kennedy15,6309.29%
DemocraticDoug Smith11,8617.05%
DemocraticChad Martin9,3525.56%
Total votes168,224 100.0%

Runoff

Results

Runoff results by county:

  Flowers
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
  Tie
  •   Flowers / Sanders-Fortier 50%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
Democratic primary runoff results[83]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticYolanda Rochelle Flowers 32,529 55.14%
DemocraticMalika Sanders-Fortier26,46944.86%
Total votes58,998 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian nomination

No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party.[99]

Nominee

Independent candidates

Declared

  • Jared Budlong, marketing project manager (write-in campaign)[100]
  • Dean Odle, pastor, author and former Republican primary candidate (write-in campaign)[101]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[102]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[103]Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato’s Crystal Ball[104]Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico[105]Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP[106]Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News[107]Solid RMay 12, 2022
538[108]Solid RJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily[109]Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Jimmy Blake (L)
Organizations
  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition[113]
  • LetBamaVote.org[114]
Dean Odle (write-in)
Organizations
  • Stand for Health Freedom[115]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Kay
Ivey (R)
Yolanda
Flowers (D)
Jimmy
Blake (L)
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R)October 27–29, 2022616 (LV)± 3.94%60%25%5%

Results

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election[116]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanKay Ivey (incumbent) 946,932 66.91% +7.45%
DemocraticYolanda Rochelle Flowers412,96129.18%−11.21%
LibertarianJames D. “Jimmy” Blake45,9583.25%N/A
Write-in9,4320.67%+0.52%
Total votes1,415,283 100.0%
Turnout1,419,71838.50%
Registered electors3,687,753
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Ivey won 6 of 7 congressional districts.[117]

DistrictIveyFlowersRepresentative
1st68%27%Jerry Carl
2nd70%27%Barry Moore
3rd72%25%Mike Rogers
4th84%12%Robert Aderholt
5th69%27%Mo Brooks (117th Congress)
Dale Strong (118th Congress)
6th68%27%Gary Palmer
7th37%60%Terri Sewell

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by ForestPAC, a wing of the Alabama Forestry Association, which supports Ivey
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Ivey’s campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by FarmPAC, a wing of the Alabama Farmers Federation

References

  1. ^ Sharp, John (November 8, 2022). “Kay Ivey high steps her way to second full term as Alabama governor, vows to focus on education”. AL.com. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  2. ^ Swetlik, Sara (June 21, 2022). “For first time ever, two women will face each other in Alabama gubernatorial election”. AL.com. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. ^ Axelrod, Tal (May 2, 2021). “Alabama’s GOP Gov. Kay Ivey to seek reelection”. The Hill.
  4. ^ Grass, Jonathan (December 7, 2021). “Blanchard drops Senate bid, enters governor’s race”. WSFA-12. Retrieved December 7, 2021.
  5. ^ Moon, Josh (November 23, 2021). “Blanchard doesn’t shy away from governor’s race rumors, Trump endorsement”. Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved November 23, 2021.
  6. ^ “Alabama GOP Senate candidate Lynda Blanchard to switch races and run for Governor”. CNN. December 2, 2021. Retrieved December 2, 2021.
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  8. ^ “Stacy Lee George – Candidate For 2022 Alabama Governor Election”. Bama Politics. August 19, 2020. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
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  10. ^ a b Gunzburger, Ron. “Politics1 – Online Guide to Alabama Elections, Candidates & Politics”. www.politics1.com. Archived from the original on April 23, 2022. Retrieved April 23, 2022.
  11. ^ a b c Moseley, Brandon (January 29, 2022). “Candidate qualifying is over except for Congress”. 1819 News. Archived from the original on January 29, 2022. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
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  13. ^ Thomas, Erica (January 5, 2022). “Springville, Ala. mayor running for governor: ‘I am a free-market economist…and I smoke pot’. 1819 News. Archived from the original on January 5, 2022. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  14. ^ Howell, Josie (January 5, 2022). “Springville mayor talks tax reform, marijuana, state lottery in run for governor”. St. Clair Times. Anniston Star. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  15. ^ Cason, Mike (January 29, 2022). “Alabama Republican candidates far outnumber Democrats as qualifying for May 24 primary wraps up”. AL.com. Retrieved January 29, 2022.
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  28. ^ Lew Burdette for Governor [@VoteLEWin22] (May 19, 2022). “Thrilled to have the endorsement of Alabama’s most trusted conservative voices! @Yaffee has hosted all of the candidates, so to receive his vote of confidence is a badge of honor for our campaign to bring common sense, conservative leadership to the Alabama. #alpolitics #algov” (Tweet). Retrieved May 19, 2022 – via Twitter.
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  32. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Smith, Dylan (May 13, 2022). “Gov. Kay Ivey lands additional legislative endorsements, touts fight against ‘Biden’s left-wing agenda’. Yellowhammer News. Retrieved May 13, 2022.
  33. ^ Smith, Dylan (April 18, 2022). “Senate President Pro Tem Greg Reed endorses Gov. Kay Ivey for reelection”. Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 18, 2022.
  34. ^ a b Smith, Dylan (May 5, 2022). “Legislative GOP leaders Scofield, Ledbetter endorse Gov. Kay Ivey for reelection”. Yellowhammer News. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
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